Obama has just won Wyoming and Mississippi. His delegate lead is now about 150, plus or minus.
The dangerous "super-delegates" number about 800, which is a mad wildcard since they are free to choose either Rodham or Hussein at the Democratic nominations. The 800 could easily overturn his 150 delegate lead.
There are about 600 delegates at stake in the remaining contests. To overcome a 150 deficit, Hilary needs to beat Barack 450-250, an uphill battle. Remaining states include Pennsylvania, Indiana, Guam, West Virginia, Montana, and South Dakota. Since it is not "winner takes all" but "proportionate sharing of delegates," things look bad for Hilary.
That's why Rodham is hoping to bring Florida and Michigan back into play. The delegates from these states were not accepted because of holding the primaries too early, and now a revote is difficult because the Dems party has justifiably refused to finance a revote. So what will happen?
Pennsylvania, Indiana, Florida, Michigan - big industrial states seem to prefer Hilary over Barack. She will make up ground.
If she can convince super-delegates that Barack's losses in all big states - California, New York, etc, etc - will be a big liability in the general election (a point I hold myself), Clinton can win herself a justifiable win.
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If you go just by the states that have voted Democrat in the last couple of elections, Hillary will get the nod from the super delegates.
Nobody gives a **** about the middle of the country because neither obama or clinton are gonna win ID, NV, AZ, UT, CO, WY, MO, ND, SD, NB, KS, OK, TX, LA, MO, IA, MS, AL, GA, SC, NC, VA, IN, WV.
Wow those seem to be the states that Obama won but still won't win in the General Election.
Let's assume those are all going McCain because they pretty much are. Of the remaining states Clinton would have the lead. And that is with me gifting the other states to Obama. The lead would be 123 to 101 electoral votes. We need the candidate that can take Florida and Ohio away from the Republicans.
That is why Clinton will get the support of the super delegates and it will be a horse race to the presidency. Sadly the edge probably goes to McCain who will probably take FL and OH